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Strong Buy
CantFitz Jul 25 SGMO report. $17 target + upside."Building Toward Break-out. Expect significant SA milestone pyt & royalties this yr. Multiple near term, revenue sources. Therapeutic product alliance coming."Cantor Fitzgerald
Company Update
J ULY 25, 2007L IFE SCIENCESEquity Research Pamela Bassett, DMD
. Sangamo Biosciences Inc. (SGMO-$9.65)Rating: BUY Target Price: $17.00 2Q:07 EPS In-line — Building Toward Break-out
o Yesterday, after the market close, Sangamo Biosciences reported EPS of $(0.15) for 2Q:07 in-line with our estimate of $(0.13) for the quarter.o During 2Q:07, we think Sangamo made significant progress towards building out its business model — leveraging its enabling ZFP platform technology across multiple industries (pharma, agro, biomanufacturing and research lab) —to develop and commercialize proprietary products that provide near-term revenue with the potential for sustainable top-line and bottom-line growth.o We expect Sangamo to end 2007 with about $75 million in cash, following the closing of their offering of approximately 3.28 million shares at $9.15 per share on July 20, 2007, along with the upfront fee and other payments from the recent Sigma-Aldrich alliance to create products for research labs.o We anticipate continued agro-product development progress with DowAgrosciences following the generation of specific traits in both maize and canola, including payment of milestones later this year. Further, we expect Sangamo to receive milestone payments and royalties from Sigma-Aldrich later this year.o We think the multiple near-term revenue sources, ongoing R&D funding, research grants and recent offering, provide Sangamo with the ongoing funding to move its proprietary therapeutic pipeline forward and we expect the company to execute at least one therapeutic product alliance, plus additional commercial biomanufacturing agreements within the next 12 months. We reiterate our BUY rating.Yesterday, after the market close, Sangamo Biosciences reported EPS of $(0.15) for 2Q:07 in-line with our estimate of $(0.13) for the quarter. During 2Q:07, we think Sangamo made significant progress towards building out its business model — leveraging its enabling ZFP platform technology across multiple industries (pharma, agro, biomanufacturing and research lab) — to develop and commercialize proprietary products that provide near-term revenue with the potential for sustainable top-line and bottom-line growth. We expect Sangamo to end 2007 with about $75 million in cash following the closing of their offering of approximately 3.28 million shares at $9.15 per share on July 20, 2007, along with the upfront fee and other payments from the recent Sigma-Aldrich alliance to create products for research labs. We anticipate continued agro-product development progress with DowAgrosciences following the generation of specific traits in both maize and canola, including payment of milestones later this year. Further, we expect Sangamo to receive milestone payments and royalties from Sigma-Aldrich later this year. We have adjusted our EPS to reflect the recent transactions and alliances, along with increases in both R&D and G&A quarter over quarter that we anticipate to continue as Sangamo supports its advancing clinical trials. We think the multiple near-term revenue sources, ongoing R&D funding, research grants and recent offering, provide Sangamo with the ongoing funding to move its proprietary therapeutic pipeline forward and we expect the company to execute at least one therapeutic product alliance, plus additional commercial biomanufacturing agreements within the next 12 months. We reiterate our BUY rating.
Risks Sangamo currently has numerous preclinical programs that could enter clinical development over the next 12 to 18 months and could require increased financial and human resources to manage this growth. Should Sangamo be unsuccessful in attracting future partners for these programs, development could be stalled or Sangamo may be required to find other funding sources including additional equity offerings that could dilute current shareholders. If Sangamo's current clinical programs are not successful, this could significantly diminish the company's ability to attract future partners for its therapeutic products. Since Sangamo has limited experience conducting clinical trials, if the company is unable to attract partners, its therapeutic product programs could encounter increased regulatory uncertainty. Further, Sangamo is dependent upon its relationships with collaborative partners and their interest and ability to commercialize products based upon Sangamo technology for its future revenue. There are no current commercial products based upon ZFP technology; therefore, market acceptance of such products is unknown. Sangamo product candidates could face significant competition in the future, which could diminish its revenue potential. Additionally, Sangamo is dependent upon its patent estate to create product value for its customers. The company could also face competitive opposition and be required to defend its intellectual property that could involve litigation and expenses
Current Statistics Market Cap ($Mil) $381.4 Avg. Daily Trading Volume (3 mo.): 510,508 Shares Out (Mil): 39.527 Float Shares (Mil): 33.374 Institutional Holdings: 51.8% Technology Value (TV): $336.846 Cash (Mil): $44.585 Short Interest (Mil): 4.228 Company Description Sangamo Biosciences (www.sangamo.com) utilizes its proprietary zinc finger transcription factor technology to develop human therapeutics, protein therapeutics manufacturing and agricultural products and has partnered with industry leaders across all of its programs. Sangamo receives research funding and may receive milestone payments and royalties on product sales. Sangamo's headquarters is located in Richmond, California.
SANGAMO BIOSCIENCES INC (,000) Income Statement Year End December 31st 2004A 2005A 2006A 1Q 2007A 2Q 2007A 3Q 2007E 4Q 2007E 2007E Total revenues $1,315 $2,484 $7,885 $1,422 $2,584 $2,650 $2,650 $9,306Operating expenses: Research and development 11,184 10,909 21,527 5,430 6,309 6,350 6,350 24,439 General and administrative 4,781 5,323 7,087 1,999 2,113 2,150 2,150 8,412 Total operating expenses 15,965 16,232 28,614 7,429 8,422 8,500 8,500 32,851Loss from operations (14,650) (13,748) (20,729) (6,007) (5,838) (5,850) (5,850) (23,545)Interest income, net 620 850 2,411 648 657 750 750 2,805 Other income/(expense) 212 (395) 454 0 0 0 0 0Net loss (13,818) (13,293) (17,864) (5,359) (5,181) (5,100) (5,100) (20,740)Basic and diluted net loss per common share ($0.55) ($0.51) ($0.55) ($0.15) ($0.15) ($0.13) ($0.13) ($0.56) Weighted average common shares outstanding, 25,126 25,855 32,502 35,057 35,136 38,597 39,527 37,079 basic and diluted Source: Company reports and Cantor Fitzgerald estimates
EPS 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2004A (0.12)A (0.13)A (0.18)A (0.12)A 2005A (0.14)A (0.13)A (0.14)A (0.10)A2006A (0.09)A (0.11)A (0.08)A (0.26)A2007E (0.15)A (0.15)A (0.13)E (0.13)EPrev (0.15)A (0.13)E (0.13)E (0.12)EFY 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007E EPS (0.55)A (0.51)A (0.55)A (0.56)EPrev (0.55)A (0.51)A (0.55)A (0.53)EP/E NM NM NM NMNote: Sum of quarterly EPS may not equal full-year total due to rounding and/or change in share count.
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